Climate change will alter the way we utilise land across the globe and will change the rate and balance of natural processes such as carbon sequestration. As a result, the ecosystem services provided by natural systems will most likely be diminished, with consequences for human wellbeing and economic productivity. There is a need for quantitative information of the effects of climate change on the relations between biodiversity and ecosystem services and their socio-ecological consequences in Brazil and other developing countries in Latin America. How robust are policies in different images of the future, given a set of indicators and indicator limits? [Kapetanaki et al., 2017]
Objective
Limits include environmental thresholds, policy targets and standards. What will be the effects of setting different limits for a set of different indicators and how will they respond in different sccenario's?
Participants
Scientific experts on ecology, hydrology, agriculture, policy-science interface and indicator frameworks for sustainability assessment; local experts.
Setting
Several tele-meetings with all participants. Each tele-meeting started by showing visuals (maps, diagrams, etc.) for interpretation by local experts and scientists, followed by a discussion to gather feedback and new knowledge for inclusion in a next iteration. The total proces took several months with active and less-active periods.
Data
10x10 km resolution: land use, carbon density, water, population density, leishmanios disease, forest area, biomes, departments, regions
References
Kapetanaki, P., Verweij, P., Jones, L., Simoes, M., Winograd, M., 2017, An application framework for exploring the sustainability limits: the case of climate change impacts in Brazil, Agile conference, Wageningen, May 2017